The alternative to pessimism isn't blind optimism

October 20, 2026


From me

Pessimism gets dressed up as being realistic, but it's often just a way of avoiding discomfort. Because if we believe a problem can't be solved, we never have to risk trying and failing.

Optimism doesn't look like much of an alternative, because when most of us hear the word we picture blind optimism, where we believe things will work out on their own, so there's nothing we need to do. That's wishful thinking, and it hands responsibility over to luck.

Rational optimism is different. It openly acknowledges that problems are inevitable, but it also argues that all problems are soluble with the right knowledge. That puts the responsibility back in our hands. Instead of hoping the problem resolves itself, we find the solution by acting.

Pessimism and blind optimism look like opposites, but both leave the outcome to chance. One just feels better while we wait.

Rational optimism doesn't wait. It biases us towards action, and action is what changes outcomes.

Read the full piece →

From others

Comedian and writer Stephen Colbert on mistaking cynicism for wisdom:

"Cynicism masquerades as wisdom, but it is the farthest thing from it. Because cynics don't learn anything. Because cynicism is a self-imposed blindness, a rejection of the world because we are afraid it will hurt us or disappoint us."

Source: Knox College commencement address (2006)

Physicist and philosopher David Deutsch on the cause of every problem:

"Optimism (in the sense that I have advocated) is the theory that all failures — all evils — are due to insufficient knowledge."

Source: The Beginning of Infinity (2011)

For you

What are you calling “being realistic” to avoid the discomfort of trying?

P.S. We're all dealt a hand, a set of misconcepts encoded by evolution and inherited from the environment we grew up in. Some hands are better than others, but no one is stuck with theirs. We can improve our misconcepts through learning and experience, and over time they become our new defaults.

Misconcepts are initially encoded by evolution and inherited from the environment we grow up in, but we can improve our misconcepts through learning and experience.

← All issues